low R-squared value. When comparing the three different analyses, the Linear Regression analysis provided the highest R-square values with an average growth rate of 0.60%.
Table 3-2 – Growth Trends
| Segment | Type of Analysis | Annual Growth Rate (%) | R-Squared (%) |
|---|
| Site: 135023\nRoadway: US 41/1st Street\nDescription: SR 55/US 41/301, north of 13th Avenue E | Linear | 0.67% | 11.37% |
| Exponential | 0.65% | 10.68% |
| Decaying Exponential | 0.67% | 10.65% |
| Site: 135022\nRoadway: US 41/1st Street\nDescription: SR 55/US 41/301, south of westbound SR 64/Manatee Avenue WB | Linear | -0.25% | 0.86% |
| Exponential | -0.15% | 0.29% |
| Decaying Exponential | 0.51% | 2.97% |
| Site: 130031\nRoadway: US 41/1st Street\nDescription: SR 55/US 41/301/1st Street, north of Manatee River | Linear | 0.33% | 9.10% |
| Exponential | 0.34% | 9.56% |
| Decaying Exponential | 0.49% | 17.63% |
| Site: 135026\nRoadway: US 41/1st Street\nDescription: SR 55/US 41, north of SR43/US 301 | Linear | 1.07% | 24.35% |
| Exponential | 1.01% | 22.71% |
| Decaying Exponential | 0.81% | 13.18% |
| Site: 135081\nRoadway: US 41\nDescription: SR 55/US 41, north of 25th Street E | Linear | 1.80% | 44.87% |
| Exponential | 1.66% | 42.15% |
| Decaying Exponential | 1.70% | 38.89% |
| Site: 135091\nRoadway: US 41\nDescription: SR 55/US 41 SB, north of 17th Avenue W | Linear | -0.01% | 0.02% |
| Exponential | -0.01% | 0.01% |
| Decaying Exponential | 0.11% | 0.67% |
Under a No-Build scenario, in 2045, the LOS is projected to remain at F as conditions will only be exacerbated by increased traffic volumes. Traffic volumes on the DeSoto Bridge are anticipated to increase by about 27.69% by 2045.
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