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Kevin P. McDonough (1953-1994)
John H. Rea, P.E.
Jay S. Troutman, Jr., P.E.
Scott T. Kennel
November 13, 2024
Jackson Township Planning Board
95 West Veterans Highway
Jackson, New Jersey 08527
Re: Adventure Crossing Phases III & IV
Lot 1.01 in Block 3001
Trip Generation Analysis
Jackson Township, Ocean County
MRA File No. 17-111
## Dear Board Members:
McDonough and Rea Associates (MRA) has conducted a Trip Generation Analysis for revised plans for Adventure Crossing, Phases III and IV. Plans prepared by Professional Design Services (PDS) show the following elements for Phases III and IV.
➤ Phase III-252 townhomes
➢ Phase IV-207 townhomes, 46 affordable apartments
MRA had previously prepared a Traffic Impact Analysis for the previous Phase III and IV proposals. The previous Phase III proposal consisted of the following:
48 special needs beds
428 market rate apartments
70,000 SF of office/retail space
The previous Phase IV proposal consisted of the following elements:
➤ A 134-room hotel
▶ A wave pool
➢ A 70,000 SF indoor water park
MRA previously prepared a Traffic Impact Analysis for all phases of Adventure Crossing, last revised on December 28, 2022, with a finding that all studied intersections will operate acceptably for peak summer conditions. The purpose of this Trip Generation Analysis is to compare the new trip generation from the revised Phase III and IV plans to the previous trip generation utilized by MRA for the previous Phase III and IV plans.
## Please reply to:
1431 Lakewood Road, Suite C, Manasquan, NJ 08736 • (732) 528-7076 • Fax (732) 528-6673
105 Elm Street, Lower Level, Westfield, NJ 07090 • (908) 789-7180 • Fax (908) 789-7181
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Jackson Township Planning Board
November 13, 2024
The new trip generation for Phases III and IV is summarized on Tables I and II.
TABLE I
TRIP GENERATION-PHASE III
252 TOWNHOMES
AMPSH
IN
OUT
77
TOTAL
101
81
IN
OUT
48
PM PSH
TOTAL
129
TOTAL
N/A
IN
SAT. PH
OUT
N/A
TOTAL
TABLE II
TRIP GENERATION-PHASE IV
207 TOWNHOMES & 46 AFFORDABLE APARTMENTS
| USE | AMPSH | PMPSH | SAT. PH |
| IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL |
| 207 Townhomes | 21 | 66 | 87 | 69 | 41 | 110 | N/A | N/A | 85 |
| 46 Affordable Apts. | 8 | 19 | 27 | 13 | 8 | 21 | N/A | N/A | 58 |
| Totals | 29 | 85 | 114 | 82 | 49 | 131 | N/A | N/A | 143 |
The totals for the new Phase III and Phase IV proposal are shown on Table III. The trip generation estimates for the previous Phase III and IV proposals are shown below on Table IV as referenced in the MRA December 28, 2022 Ocean County traffic report..
TABLE III TOTAL TRIP GENERATION-NEW PHASE III AND PHASE IV
| AMPSH | PM PSH | SAT. PH |
| 215 | 260 | 247 |
TABLE IV TRIP GENERATION-PREVIOUS PHASE III AND PHASE IV
| PHASE | AMPSH | PM PSH | SAT. PH |
| IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL |
| Phase III | 101 | 101 | 202 | 160 | 156 | 316 | 150 | 133 | 283 |
| Phase IV. | 52 | 28 | 80 | 75 | 85 | 160 | 135 | 35 | 170 |
| Totals | 153 | 129 | 282 | 235 | 241 | 476 | 285 | 168 | 453 |
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Jackson Township Planning Board
November 13, 2024
A comparison was then made of the total trips utilized in MRA's previous Traffic Impact Analysis for Phases III and IV and total trips currently projected for the new Phase III and IV development proposal and is shown on Table V.
TABLE V TRIP GENERATION COMPARISON
| PROPOSAL | AMPSH | PMPSH | SAT.PH |
| Old | 282 | 476 | 453 |
| New | 215 | 260 | 247 |
| Difference | -67 | -216 | -206 |
Based on the foregoing trip generation analyses for the new development program, it is concluded that there will be a substantial decrease in AM peak street hour, PM peak street hour and Saturday peak hour traffic generation from the previous estimate utilized by MRA for Phases III and IV. Therefore, conclusions reached in our previous Traffic Impact Analysis for Phases III and IV remain valid.
We hope the foregoing traffic generation analysis is satisfactory.
Very truly yours,
John H. Roa
John H. Rea, PE
Principal
cc: Sal Alfieri, Esq.
Ian Borden, PP
Vito Cardinale
Randy Johnson
Scott T. Kennel
Sr. Associate
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Kevin P. McDonough (1953-1994)
John H. Rea, P.E.
Jay S. Troutman, Jr., P.E.
Scott T. Kennel
Revised December 28, 2022
June 17, 2022
John N. Ernst, PE
Ocean County Engineer
Ocean County Engineering Department
129 Hooper Avenue
Toms River, New Jersey 08754
Re: Adventure Crossing Phases I, II, III & IV
Lots 2, 3 and 4 in Block 3001
Jackson Township, Ocean County
MRA File No. 17-111
Dear John:
Pursuant to your request, McDonough and Rea Associates (MRA) has consolidated our data into a comprehensive report that covers Adventure Crossing Phases I thru IV. Jackson Township has granted Site Plan approvals for Phases I thru IV of Adventure Crossing. This report will evaluate the Route 537 corridor from the U-Turn jughandle intersection at Milepost 40.72 to the Route 526/571 intersection at Milepost 42.21, as well as the 4-way internal intersection Pine Street Extension. The Adventure Crossing location is detailed on Figure 1, a Site Location Map in the Appendix and the land use proposal is summarized in Table I below:
TABLE I LAND USE SUMMARY ADVENTURE CROSSING
| PHASE | USE |
| Phase I | 246,195 SF recreational airdome |
| 108,780 SF convention center |
| 163,400 SF medical research campus |
| 276 hotel rooms |
| 4 multi-purpose athletic fields |
| 68,117 SF office, retail, restaurant space |
| Phase II | 1,002,891 SF warehouse |
| Phase III | 428 apartments |
| 48 special needs beds |
| 70,000 SF office/retail |
| Phase IV | 134 hotel rooms |
| Wave pool |
| 70,000 SF indoor waterpark |
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## SCOPE OF STUDY
In order to prepare a thorough Traffic Impact Analysis for this project, MRA has conducted the following tasks:
1. Made field visits to the site to establish existing roadway and traffic conditions in the area.
2. Conducted 2021 seasonal (summer) peak hour traffic counts at the following intersections:
CR 537/CR 526/571
CR 537/I-195 westbound off-ramp
CR 537/Pine Drive
CR 537/U-turn jughandles west of Pine Drive
3. Installed automatic traffic recording devices (ATR's) along eastbound and westbound CR 537 in the summer of 2021.
4. Reviewed Pre-Covid traffic data along Route 537.
5. Prepared trip generation estimates for the proposed uses based upon anticipated activity within the recreational complex and for the restaurant/commercial uses based upon data from the 11^{th} Edition of the Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) Trip Generation Manual and trip generation research data.
6. Projected traffic volumes to a design year of 2032 in accordance with Ocean County Planning Board protocol.
7. Conducted level of service capacity analyses for the following intersections:
CR 537/Pine Drive intersection
CR 537/U-turn jughandles west of Pine Drive intersection
CR 537 and I-195 westbound off-ramp intersection
CR 537 and CR 526/571 intersection
Pine Drive Extension and internal site intersection
The following report sets forth the database accumulated and the conclusions reached with respect to Adventure Crossing, Phases I, II, III and IV.
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## EXISTING CONDITIONS
The subject property is located along the eastbound lanes of CR 537 between traffic signals located at Pine Drive and reversing jughandles west of Pine Drive. CR 537 is a multi-lane divided highway in this area with a generally level and straight alignment. CR 537 provides access to the Six Flags Great Adventure and Hurricane Harbor theme parks. Interstate 195 is located north of this property and is served by a full Interchange to CR 537. Several commercial land uses such as McDonald's, Burger King and a Wawa convenience store are located along the westbound lanes of CR 537 on the opposite side of Adventure Crossing.
CR 537 north of the I-195 Interchange provides 1 lane in each direction with numerous commercial properties including the Premium Outlets shopping center.
## EXISTING TRAFFIC VOLUMES
Traffic volume counts were conducted at CR 537/Pine Drive and CR 537/reversing jughandles in the summer of 2021. ATR's were also placed along the eastbound and westbound lanes of CR 537 in the summer of 2021. Pre-Covid traffic data, collected along Route 537 from 2017 thru 2019, was reviewed. Based upon the results of the ATR data, it was found that peak traffic hours along CR 537 are heavily influenced by the Six Flags and Hurricane Harbor theme parks. Both weekday and Saturday peak hour volumes begin to peak at 10:00 AM and stay at relatively high levels until approximately 1:00 PM. The majority of the traffic during this time frame consists of westbound traffic on CR 537 entering the Six Flags and Hurricane Harbor theme parks. Exiting traffic from the Six Flags and Hurricane Harbor theme parks that travels east on CR 537 peaks from 6:00 PM to 7:00 PM.
In consideration of the fact that the proposed warehouse use for Phase II will generate their peak traffic volumes on weekdays more consistent with traditional commuter peak periods i.e. 7:00 AM-9:00 AM and 4:00 PM-6:00 PM, the summer weekday peak hour traffic volumes were reviewed. Therefore, the following weekday and weekend peak hours were evaluated and are depicted on Figure 2 in the Appendix.
The traditional weekday PM peak street hour
The Saturday morning peak hour associated with entering Six Flags traffic
The Saturday evening peak hour associated with Six Flags exiting traffic
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John N. Ernst, PE
December 28, 2022
## TRIP GENERATION
As previously indicated, it is MRA's expectation that the restaurants, convenience store and hotels will draw their patronage heavily from the existing eastbound traffic flow on CR 537 in the evening when Six Flags Great Adventure and Hurricane Harbor are discharging traffic onto eastbound CR 537. Based on this assumption, credits need to be taken for pass-by traffic and internal capture rates (users of the recreational facilities patronizing restaurants and the convenience store, hotel patrons utilizing the restaurants, convenience store and recreational facilities, etc.). Furthermore, during the 10:00 AM-11:00 AM peak hour, traffic flow on Route 537 is predominantly westbound and those vehicles have convenience store, gas and food opportunities on the westbound side of the highway.
The Table II illustrates Adventure Crossing trip generation for each phase at the access points during the weekday and Saturday peak hours. Assumptions with respect to internal capture credits were made only for the hotels, restaurant and convenience store. All traffic generated by the recreational uses, convention center and office/warehouse uses, was assumed to be new traffic. Assumptions with respect to each land use are summarized in the Appendix where detailed trip generation estimates are provided for each phase.
TABLE II
OVERALL TRIP GENERATION ADVENTURE CROSSING-SUMMER
| PHASE | WEEKDAY 7-8 AM | WEEKDAY 4-5 PM | SAT. 10-11 AM | SAT. 6-7 PM |
| IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL | IN | OUT | TOTAL |
| Phase I | 339 | 224 | 563 | 527 | 581 | 1,108 | 470 | 432 | 902 | 601 | 710 | 1,311 |
| Phase II | 157 | 47 | 204 | 65 | 165 | 230 | 88 | 47 | 135 | 14 | 42 | 56 |
| Phase III | 101 | 101 | 202 | 160 | 156 | 316 | 150 | 133 | 283 | 125 | 151 | 276 |
| Phase IV | 52 | 28 | 80 | 75 | 85 | 160 | 135 | 35 | 170 | 40 | 60 | 100 |
| Totals | 649 | 400 | 1,049 | 827 | 987 | 1,814 | 843 | 647 | 1,490 | 780 | 963 | 1,743 |
With respect to the distribution of site generated traffic for Adventure Crossing. Table III shows the anticipated distribution for each phase.
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## TABLE III SITE TRAFFIC DISTRIBUTION ADVENTURE CROSSING
| PHASE | DIRECTION | ROUTE 537 | ROUTE I-195 | ROUTE 571 | ROUTE 526 |
| EAST | WEST | EAST | WEST | SOUTH | NORTH |
| PHASE I |
| Retail/Rest. | To | 15% | 20% | 30% | 30% | 5% | 0% |
| Retail/Rest | From | 8% | 70% | 10% | 10% | 2% | 0% |
| Conv. Store | To | 30% | 20% | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Conv. Store | From | 10% | 70% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Office/Medical | To/From | 20% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 5% | 0% |
| Conv. Ctr., Hotel, Rec. | To/From | 8% | 10% | 30% | 50% | 2% | 0% |
| PHASE II |
| Passenger Vehicles | To/From | 10% | 15% | 30% | 35% | 5% | 5% |
| Trucks | To/From | 10% | 10% | 20% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
| PHASE III | To/From | 15% | 10% | 30% | 35% | 5% | 5% |
| PHASE IV | To/From | 15% | 10% | 30% | 40% | 5% | 0% |
Figure 3 in the Appendix illustrates the total Adventure Crossing site generated traffic for the weekday and Saturday peak hours. Trip generation worksheets for each phase are attached to the Appendix.
## FUTURE TRAFFIC PROJECTIONS
A design year of 2032 was assumed for analysis in accordance with Ocean County Planning Board protocol (10 year horizon). Base traffic volumes were expanded by 1.0 percent per year for 3 years and 0.50 percent per year for 8 years in accordance with the New Jersey Department of Transportation's (NJDOT) Historical Background Traffic Growth Rate data for the area to establish the 2032 no-build traffic volumes (Figure 4 in the Appendix). Site generated and distributed traffic volumes were then surcharged onto 2032 no-build traffic volumes in order to arrive at full build year 2032 traffic volumes which are shown on Figure 5 in the Appendix.
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## ANALYSIS OF FUTURE TRAFFIC
Traffic engineers calculate levels of service of unsignalized and signalized intersections which relate to the quality of traffic flow. Level of service is a measure of average control delay. Average control delay is the time lost due to deceleration and the amount of time from when a vehicle is stopped for a traffic control device (or at the end of the queue) to when the vehicle departs the intersection. Delay is a relative quantity of driver discomfort, frustration, fuel consumption, and loss in travel time.
Levels of service range from “A” to “F,” with “A” being the highest, or best attainable level of service. Level of service “E” with average control delays of not more than 50 seconds per vehicle at an unsignalized intersection or 80 seconds per vehicle at a signalized intersection indicates near to or at capacity conditions and is generally considered the limit of acceptable level of service and delay.
Full definitions of levels of service for unsignalized and signalized intersections as well as level of service summaries are included in the Appendix. The intersections studied by this report were analyzed according to the procedures set forth in the Highway Capacity Manual 2010, using the McTrans Highway Capacity Software (HCS), release 7.9.5.
Level of service summaries and findings for the 2032 design year for Phases I thru IV are detailed below.
## CR 537/PINE DRIVE
At the reconfigured CR 537/Pine Drive signalized intersection, findings were that this signalized intersection would operate at level of service “D” or better based on the Phase I improvement program that includes reconfiguring/widening the intersection and a new traffic signal system operating as a 3-phase, 110 second cycle, as follows:
➢ Weekday PM peak street hour: Level of service “D”, 36.0 seconds of delay.
Saturday AM peak street hour: Level of service "C", 34.0 seconds of delay.
Saturday PM peak street hour: Level of service "D", 48.3 seconds of delay.
Based on the foregoing analyses, the recent geometric/timing/phasing improvements associated with Adventure Crossing will be capable of supporting the full build Adventure Crossing traffic volumes within acceptable traffic engineering parameters.
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## CR 537/U-TURN FACILITIES
At the signalized U-Turn facility on CR 537, findings were that this signalized intersection would operate as follows, with the Phase I improvements, including widening the CR 537 westbound ramp and restriping the approach to the signal to provide a double left turn lane and a thru lane with the traffic signal operating on a 110 second cycle:
➢ Weekday PM peak street hour: Level of service “C”, 26.4 seconds of delay.
Saturday AM peak street hour: Level of service “C”, 31.4 seconds of delay.
> Saturday PM peak street hour: Level of service "C", 25.8 seconds of delay.
Based on the foregoing analyses, the roadway and traffic signal improvements at this location associated with Adventure Crossing-Phase I will be capable of supporting Adventure Crossing traffic volumes within acceptable traffic engineering parameters.
## PINE DRIVE INTERNAL 4-WAY INTERSECTION
At the internal Pine Drive 4-way intersection within the site, south of the CR 537/Pine Drive intersection, the following are our findings with 2 lanes on the northbound, southbound and westbound approaches and 3 lanes on the eastbound approach controlled by a 2-phase second cycle traffic signal.
▶ Weekday PM peak street hour: Level of service “C”, 23.8 seconds of delay.
Saturday AM peak street hour: Level of service “C”, 20.7 seconds of delay.
Saturday PM peak street hour: Level of service "C", 26.3 seconds of delay.
Based on the foregoing, the internal 4-way intersection will operate within acceptable traffic engineering parameters as a signalized intersection.
## CR 537/I-195 WESTBOUND OFF-RAMP INTERSECTION
At this signalized intersection, the 2032 build traffic volumes indicate that the westbound approach should be widened to provide a double left turn lane to provide the following levels of service:
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# McDonough & Rea Associates, Inc.
➢ Weekday PM peak street hour: Level of service “B”, 14.8 seconds of delay.
Saturday AM peak street hour: Level of service "B", 12.9 seconds of delay.
Saturday PM peak street hour: Level of service "B", 15.9 seconds of delay.
Based on these signalized level of service analyses for traffic at the CR 537/I-195 westbound off-ramp access points, levels of service will be within acceptable traffic engineering parameters for Adventure Crossing.
## CR 537/ANDERSON ROAD/BURNT TAVERN ROAD INTERSECTION
The CR 537 4-way Anderson Road/Burnt Tavern Road intersection, north of I-195, controlled by stop signs on the northbound and southbound approaches, currently operates at level of service "F" and will continue to operate at level of service "F" for the 2032 no-build and build traffic volumes. Monmouth County currently has a consultant conducting an evaluation of this intersection to improve safety and capacity.
## CR 537 AND CR 526/571 INTERSECTION
At the CR 537 and 526/571 signalized intersection, findings were that this 4-phase 95 second cycle signalized intersection would operate as follows:
➢ Weekday PM peak street hour: Level of service “D”, 42.0 seconds of delay.
> Saturday AM peak street hour: Level of service “D”, 45.7 seconds of delay.
Saturday PM peak street hour: Level of service "C", 31.1 seconds of delay.
Based on the foregoing analyses, the intersection will operate within acceptable traffic engineering parameters with the 2032 build traffic volumes and the existing signal operations and geometry.
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# McDonough & Rea Associates, Inc.
## FINDINGS
Based on MRA's analysis of Adventure Crossing, the following represents our findings:
The foregoing analyses were conducted for 3 critical summer peak hour scenarios as follows:
- Weekday PM peak street hour (4:00 PM-5:00 PM)
Saturday seasonal AM peak hour (10:00 AM-11:00 AM)
• Saturday seasonal PM peak hour (6:00 PM-7:00 PM)
Levels of service at the Pine Drive intersection will operate within acceptable traffic engineering parameters for the 2032 design year including Adventure Crossing-Phases I-IV traffic. This analysis assumes that roadway improvements associated with Adventure Crossing-Phase I has been constructed.
Levels of service at the reversing jughandles will operate within acceptable traffic engineering parameters for the 2032 design year volumes with the recently completed westbound jughandle expansion and the proposed restriping to provide a southbound right turn lane. The intersection's northbound approach will also need to be improved to provide 2 approach lanes.
The Pine Drive internal 4-way intersection is projected to operate at level of service “C” for the peak hours analyzed with a 2-phase, 110 second signal operation.
The I-195 westbound ramp approach at the CR 537 intersection is projected to operate at level of service “B” for the 2032 build traffic volumes with widening to provide 2 left turn lanes on the ramp approach.
The CR 537/Anderson Road/Burnt Tavern Road intersection currently operates at level of service “F” and will continue to operate at level of service “F” with the 2032 no-build traffic volumes. Monmouth County is currently evaluating the intersection to improve safety and capacity at this location.
The CR 537 and CR526/571 intersection is projected to operate at level of service “D” or better for 2032 build traffic volumes during the peak hours analyzed with the existing geometry and traffic signal operation.
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Should you or your staff have any questions or comments on the data presented herein, please contact this office.
Very truly yours,
John A. Pea
John H. Rea, PE
principal
Sal Alfieri, Esq.
Ian Borden, PP
Vito Cardinale
Randy Johnson
Scott F. Kennel
Sr. Associate
