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            "text": "3.0 FUTURE CONDITIONS",
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            "text": "3.1 Future Conditions Considerations",
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            "text": "A Project Traffic Analysis Report (PTAR) was created to identify the future conditions of the study area. The population projections show that Manatee County's population is projected to grow at a compound annual rate of 1.22% from 2025 to 2050, representing an increase of approximately 165,000 residents. To understand the overall growth in the county and the study area, population projections for Manatee County were studied. As of 2025, Manatee County was estimated to have a population of 467,000."
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            "text": "This increase in population will result in more traffic on local and state roads. The historic traffic growth rate showed a 0.6% growth rate while the D1RPM showed a compound annual growth rate of 1.26%. Since the D1RPM corresponds closely with population growth, the D1RPM was chosen to forecast traffic along the Build Alternative."
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            "text": "To determine the most appropriate method for developing traffic projections along the study area, two different approaches were analyzed. The first approach utilized the D1RPM. Daily traffic forecasts for the 2015 base year and 2045 horizon year were extracted to determine the growth rate along the US 41 corridor using the D1RPM."
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            "text": "Table 3-1 – D1RPM AADT Forecasts",
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            "text": "According to the model forecasts, the average annual growth rate is approximately 1.27%"
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            "text": "The second approach used historical traffic counts from six portable traffic monitoring sites within the project study area. These include 135023, 135022, 130031, 135026, 135081, 135091. Linear, exponential, and decaying exponential trend analyses were performed using historical AADTs from FTO for 2015 through 2024, and the results are shown in Table 3-2."
        },
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            "text": "All the R-squared values were below the 75% threshold set by the FDOT Project Traffic Forecasting Handbook (2024). It should be noted that the historic year analysis includes years in which Florida and the United States experienced the COVID health crisis and traffic patterns were severely disrupted due to stay-at-home restrictions. These fluctuations in traffic patterns may explain the"
        },
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            "text": "Page | 42",
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